{"id":3024,"date":"2024-07-13T02:04:58","date_gmt":"2024-07-12T17:04:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fx-vhouse.com\/?p=3024"},"modified":"2024-07-19T20:39:30","modified_gmt":"2024-07-19T11:39:30","slug":"%e7%a7%bb%e5%8b%95%e5%b9%b3%e5%9d%87%e7%b7%9a%ef%bc%91%e6%9c%ac%ef%bc%88%e8%a8%ad%e5%ae%9a%e5%80%a420%ef%bc%89%e3%81%97%e3%81%8b%e4%bd%bf%e3%82%8f%e3%81%aa%e3%81%84%e3%82%b7%e3%83%b3%e3%83%97%e3%83%ab","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fx-vhouse.com\/en\/3024.html","title":{"rendered":"Proven! Secrets of Trend Following Using the 20-Period Moving Average"},"content":{"rendered":"

Hello everyone, this is Pip, your FX trader (\u3003 \u02c6\u1d17\u02c6 \u3003 )<\/p>\n

Here is the article presenting the test results of the simple trend-following strategy using just one moving average line that I introduced last time.<\/p>\n

I’ll be sharing the results of my backtesting based on this trading method, along with the additional rules and reasons for their inclusion that were added to enhance the strategy.<\/p>\n

If you check out the previous analysis article, you\u2019ll gain a better understanding of the theory and rationale behind this method, so please refer to it as well.<\/p>\n

\"\u521d\u5fc3\u8005\u304a\u3059\u3059\u3081\uff1a\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff11\u672c\uff08\u8a2d\u5b9a\u502420\uff09\u306e\u30b7\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30d5\u30a9\u30ed\u30fc\u624b\u6cd5\u3092\u78ba\u7acb\u3055\u305b\u308b\u307e\u3067\"<\/figure>

Recommended for Beginners: Establishing a Simple Trend-Following Method Using a Single Moving Average (Set to 20)<\/p>2024\u5e747\u670815\u65e5<\/span><\/div><\/a><\/div>\n

Alright, let’s get started!<\/p>\n

Simple Trend-Following Strategy Using the 20-Period Moving Average: Currency Pairs and Time Frame Settings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Past verification information<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Currency pair<\/td>\n\u00a0USDJPY<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Analysis period<\/td>\nJanuary 2017 – December 2017<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Main axis time frame<\/td>\n1 hour foot<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\"\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u30b7\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30d5\u30a9\u30ed\u30fc\u624b\u6cd5\u306e\u904e\u53bb\u691c\u8a3c\u3092\u3059\u308b\u901a\u8ca8\u30da\u30a2\u3084\u671f\u9593\u8a2d\u5b9a\"\n

Simple Trend Following Trading Rule Using Only One Moving Average<\/h2>\n

Let me introduce the rules of the trading strategy we will backtest.<\/p>\n

\n
    \n
  • Moving Average (SMA) setting is 20.<\/li>\n
  • It must be clearly sloping in either direction.<\/li>\n
  • A pullback is identified when the candlestick moves against the slope of the moving average.<\/li>\n
  • Entry condition: Enter when the candlestick crosses the moving average again while the slope is maintained.<\/li>\n
  • Stop loss: Exit when the candlestick crosses against the slope of the moving average again.<\/div><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    We will backtest the above trading rules for now, and finally, we will summarize additional rules based on the test results to stabilize the win rate.<\/p>\n

    Results and Analysis of the Trading Strategy Using the 20-Period Moving Average<\/h2>\n

    Let’s dive straight into the backtesting results.<\/p>\n

    Although it might seem sudden, the actual backtesting took around 2 to 3 hours, followed by roughly an hour of re-analysis.<\/p>\n\n\t\t